The joys of farm subsidies

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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

Post by Mikey »

Duskofdead wrote:This is a very narrow launch point from which to discuss farm subsidies. The U.S. is committed to a "cheap food" policy and you don't want to see how much worse it would be if agriculture was a pure private industry and had to be perfectly legit in every way. $18 milk, anyone? $60 for a watermelon? Look at Japan if you want an idea of what an American food market without subsidies would look like, and if we actually succeeded in getting rid of all illegal immigrant labor. Expect prices to shoot much higher than any estimate on what biofuel would do (somehow, btw, biofuel has mysteriously failed to bring about the end of the world scenario in Brazil that Teaos insists on) if we abandoned a cheap food policy and farmers who couldn't sell their goods on going market prices at a profit would just stop farming and pursue some other employment.

Yes, as with any system, there are abuses and areas where tweaks could be used. However as with most discussions criticizing public systems people focus more on the silly or frivolous instances and ignore the larger picture of what that system does, or brings int erms of benefits to our society, because you take them for granted.
#1 - None of this affects how funny the gag was.

#2 - I think you underestimate the power of a free market to curtail its own pricing. Japan isn't a perfect example, because of the lack of arable land.

#3 - I don't think I ever advocated here a completely laissez-faire approach.

#4 - I don't recall Teaos predicting that biofuel would be the end of the world; my own point - as someone who has been in the industry and seen things from the manufacturer's side as well as the end user's - is that both bio-diesel and E85 have been nowhere near as advertised. Bio-diesel is a mess, because it's expensive and new federal regs from 2007 onward require redundant self-cleaning exhaust-driven particulate filters among other changes to produce a much "cleaner" vehicle. On a comparatively small commercial chassis - say, a typical landscaper's dump truck, only two axles and a 10' - 12' dump, maybe only 25,950-lb. GVWR, the engine ALONE thanks to these new regs costs $10,000 - $12,000. Bio-diesel degrades these new cleaner and VERY expensive engines. Plus, with the advent of low-sulfur diesel being required by law, there is no terribly big "green" advantage to using it. E85 is similar - while the fuel doesn't degrade the vehicle, it doesn't produce any real benefit - either for the environment or the consumer - and 85%-ethanol fuel simply can't be found in many parts of the country.


You want to talk about energy policy in general? Tell the Sierra Club lobbyists to stop pretending to be environmentalist, and let things like Yucca Mountain open. Even with containment/storage issues - which are feared more than they are actual - nuclear has to be one of the primary ways to go. Fund things like the small-pellet reactor and the high-speed reactor - both of which COULD be realities within 30 years - and you now have both a reactor small and safe enough to put anywhere on the grid; then you have a large-scale reactor which actually uses the heavy strontium and other "bad" by-products of the other reactors to fuel itself!
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

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I don't recall Teaos predicting that biofuel would be the end of the world;
I did.

And it will. If you wait for it to happen then react your an idiot Dusk.
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

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Teaos wrote:I did.
Oh. OK, then.
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

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Geez Tsukiyumi. Did you have something horrible happen during a canoe trip or something?

Just because something is industrialized doesn't make it lower cost. There is no way building a plant is a cheaper way to produce bulk foods like grain than modern farming. Maybe if the whole world had the population density of Japan or something. And if that time comes I'm sure they'll look into it.

I could see some tech stuff coming in. They're getting so they can make muscle cells reproduce. So that might lead to cheaper meat in a decade or so if they can get the details worked out.

@Teaos how in the world are Biofuels an end of the world sort of thing? At worst they seem to be an inefficient expenditure of resources in the time frame between now and whenever we get fuel cells/batteries/etc going.

@Mikey the US is supposed to be getting quite a few more nuclear reactors online in the nearish future. However that doesn't have much bearing on things like ethanol as very little crude finds its way into electricity generation. Most of it going into cars and the like.

And a question for everybody I'm guessing nobody has really worked out. How does ethanol and the like compare to other methods for domestic fuel production like plasma reactors?
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

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Teaos wrote:
I don't recall Teaos predicting that biofuel would be the end of the world;
I did.

And it will. If you wait for it to happen then react your an idiot Dusk.
That's you're an idiot.
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

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#2 - I think you underestimate the power of a free market to curtail its own pricing.
With the gas prices you have a lot of nerve throwing that one around. The evidence that goods in the market with inelastic demand like fossil fuel, can be consistently and systematically price fixed and price gouged through international and corporate collusion is pretty undeniable. The "free market will fix shortages, problems, or messes" philosophy is hopelessly naive. The simple fact that we are even still on fossil fuel when we've had many viable alternatives for years/decades is proof of that.
#3 - I don't think I ever advocated here a completely laissez-faire approach.
You're advocating getting rid of subsidies because you can point out a couple of frivolous cases of it. So what is not laissez-faire about that? What are you proposing exactly?
#4 - I don't recall Teaos predicting that biofuel would be the end of the world
He did. Biofuel is not a fix-all; there IS no single fix-all for our present energy situation. It's a combination of manmade and environmental and resource problems finally coming to a head. The fact that we haven't had any sort of energy policy beyond "let the oil companies rape us because they get just about any politician elected, and buddy up with any Middle Eastern dictatorship who supplies them" is certainly a big and often undiscussed part of the problem. I wish the drive for campaign finance reform would make that particular issue front and center; I think when you just say "campaign finance reform" most people don't know what the hell they mean anyway. If you say "politicians have to outspend each other to get elected, so whoever is willing to get the most in bed with huge corporations or the oil industries has a huge leg up", people generally get it and already feel some disgust over it.

However, I don't hear you or Teaos advocating anything else, except status quo stuff like nuclear power. Nuclear power is still going to do jack in terms of powering your car or anything else so long as the so called "it'll fix the problems" free market crushes things like electric automobiles and artificially retards the production of things like hybrids which don't use about just as much gas as a non-hybrid. Toyota, for instance, sells hybrids as fast/faster than they can make them. Why then is not every single car company on the planet shifting over to making exclusively hybrids? I just see a bunch of obese guys in suits taking tantrums about how the economy is SO ROUGH, they can't sell their hummers anymore. The American car companies have acted like a bunch of spoiled babies screaming at the top of their lungs that life isn't fair because the same crap product that was crap 10 years ago isn't selling any better today. I don't see much in any of this to give any credence whatsoever to the free market will fix the problem philosophy. Elements who dominate the free market in a particular area will crush/suppress viable superior alternatives would be a much better characterization.
You want to talk about energy policy in general? Tell the Sierra Club lobbyists to stop pretending to be environmentalist, and let things like Yucca Mountain open. Even with containment/storage issues - which are feared more than they are actual - nuclear has to be one of the primary ways to go. Fund things like the small-pellet reactor and the high-speed reactor - both of which COULD be realities within 30 years - and you now have both a reactor small and safe enough to put anywhere on the grid; then you have a large-scale reactor which actually uses the heavy strontium and other "bad" by-products of the other reactors to fuel itself!
Any plan that is going to take 30 years to implement while we continue to use pretty much exclusively fossil fuels as an energy supply is going to significantly screw us over. If there is anything we can use (even a combination of things) as a carryover between now and then, as an alternative to fossil fuels and endless interventions in the Middle East resulting, I'd take it. Biofuels aren'ta fix all and won't work everywhere or in every economy, and yes will screw over some of the low income people in the third world--- but proposing that we should simply sit and wait a couple decades until something "ideal" can be adopted en masse (this is assuming such a thing will come about, and that even if it did, we would have the political will to fund it) seems to be the status quo viewpoint of major energy industries which gives me cause for concern. These are after all the people telling us coal is the "energy of the future."
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

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I didn't advocate an end to subsidies - I posted a joke. There is a small difference there.

With oil prices, you're right - but it's a different sitch. The percentage of home-generated use (NOT production) is massively smaller than cereals, and a great deal of collusion IS going on, no doubt.

I never mentioned using nuclear to produce automotive fuel(?) - that was just a comment on the energy situation in general. However, if things like Yucca Mountain had been allowed to go forward from their completion, instead of being faced with lawsuits about the half-life of the stored material being 9900 years instead of 10,000, we would have had that thirty years back and a larger portion of our power grid based on a cleaner in toto process.

We all get the fact that you're anti-big business; however, saying that the Big Three have suppressed alternative fuel development and/or gone with easy band-aid answers is both correct as a generality and a little myopic in the fine details. Only CA and AZ allowed (or made it halfway practicable) sale of GM's EV-1, for example - and there was no guv'mint support to allay the increased costs incurred by both a new technology and an enforced limited production. See? I even unintentionally threw my weight AGAINST a laissez-faire approach there! :)
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

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With oil prices, you're right - but it's a different sitch. The percentage of home-generated use (NOT production) is massively smaller than cereals, and a great deal of collusion IS going on, no doubt.
My point was that with either good, you're talking about something with inelastic demand, that only a small minority of human populations at present could possibly create or substitute for themselves with the resources they have. Corruption has been allowed to play games regarding oil, but when it comes to food, the situation is a lot more serious if people start tossing around ideas about full privatization and what not for more efficiency/profit/whatever.
I never mentioned using nuclear to produce automotive fuel(?) - that was just a comment on the energy situation in general. However, if things like Yucca Mountain had been allowed to go forward from their completion, instead of being faced with lawsuits about the half-life of the stored material being 9900 years instead of 10,000, we would have had that thirty years back and a larger portion of our power grid based on a cleaner in toto process.
Environmentalists aren't the only problem. ANYthing similar to dumping, disposing of garbage, power generation or dangerous byproduct storage/containment is a NIMBY issue. Singling out environmentalists or rural communities for not wanting it in their backyard when certainly your suburban neighbors wouldn't want it in theirs either is a little hypocritical. It's a little selfish to say if not for those damn environmentalist lobbies we could stick all kinds of toxic and radioactive and carcinogenic trash into rural areas and mountains and continue with our suburban lifestyle. And as a side note, Indian reservations and sacred sites seem to be frequently suggested as waste dump sites. From my point of view it would be just as valid to say we should hollow out Mount Rushmore and put radioactive runoff inside.
We all get the fact that you're anti-big business; however, saying that the Big Three have suppressed alternative fuel development and/or gone with easy band-aid answers is both correct as a generality and a little myopic in the fine details. Only CA and AZ allowed (or made it halfway practicable) sale of GM's EV-1, for example - and there was no guv'mint support to allay the increased costs incurred by both a new technology and an enforced limited production. See? I even unintentionally threw my weight AGAINST a laissez-faire approach there! :)
Why was there no government support? Do you think the people in general have a moral qualm against electric cars and hybrids? The demand and the fact that electric cars were backordered in the thousands undermines that argument, as does the demand for hybrids. I think the fact that oil and automobile industries in the U.S. carry, per capita, far more influence in our political system than the American voters do has something to do with it. Your average American voter can't wave around a couple mil. Exxon reported what... a "disappointing" 11 billion in profit for one quarter. And that's one company.

I'm still waiting, Mikey, to hear your idea about how free market will fix this if left to its own devices. I honestly have not seen any evidence that it will in any timely manner.
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

Post by Mikey »

You'll continue to wait, because I never advocated full privatization. I made an off-hand comment about how I merely thought you underestimated some of the forces at work in such a situation. See Adam Smith, et. al. The remainder of the inference was somehow established by your natural bent.

As far as not wanting to dump anything in my backyard - that's why sites like Yucca Mountain were chosen. I have lobbied for the continued operation of the nuclear facility "in my backyard." I mention the Sierra Club and assoc. specifically because they were in fact the people who tied up Yucca Mountain in suits, presenting one assenting scientist against an untold number of dissenting ones.
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

Post by mwhittington »

What's your take on biodiesel? It can't be all bad, the exhaust smells like french fries!
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

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I'm aware that it has some issues as far as increasing food prices and also isn't feasible in every single region or economy, but I too am not sure what is so horribly wrong with it that fossil fuel is preferrable. Teaos just made a cryptic remark about how it'll bring about the end of the world and I'm an idiot if I wait until it's too late, and never explained it.
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

Post by Tsukiyumi »

They're cutting down the rainforest in Brazil to make room for soybean fields for biofuels. I'd say that's a bit of a problem. Especially since the guy in charge of protecting the rainforests is also the largest producer of soybeans in the country...
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

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Tsukiyumi wrote:They're cutting down the rainforest in Brazil to make room for soybean fields for biofuels. I'd say that's a bit of a problem. Especially since the guy in charge of protecting the rainforests is also the largest producer of soybeans in the country...
Is there some particular reason to believe they're cutting down rainforest that they wouldn't have cut down for some other use or purpose anyway? This has been a problem conservationists have been decrying for DECADES. Let's not pretend slash and burn and destruction of the rainforest was brought about by biofuels. I'm not happy about it but I think it's naive to think that countries which have been routinely deforesting for the last half century wouldn't be doing so if not for biodiesel.
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

Post by Tsukiyumi »

Duskofdead wrote:Is there some particular reason to believe they're cutting down rainforest that they wouldn't have cut down for some other use or purpose anyway? This has been a problem conservationists have been decrying for DECADES. Let's not pretend slash and burn and destruction of the rainforest was brought about by biofuels. I'm not happy about it but I think it's naive to think that countries which have been routinely deforesting for the last half century wouldn't be doing so if not for biodiesel.
I was thinking more along the lines of, " Wow, now they've found another reason to destroy a very important part of the planet's biosphere, under the guise of independance from oil, aside from the already prevalent cattle ranching, and other primitive farming."

I'd love to buy a couple million acres of it, and shoot anyone who trespasses on "my" land, personally.
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Re: The joys of farm subsidies

Post by Duskofdead »

I think to stop it, the world (as a community) would have to get seriously on board about a solution, and be willing to buck up and actually sacrifice in some way to help make that solution come about. Telling people "no, starve and be poor, look at these science charts about O2 production from the rainforest" isn't going to work. We can't pull off the international cooperation to do something like help developing countries build up ecologically viable infrastructures to divert them away from these kinds of destructive ones. (Which are usually all they can afford.)
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